National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Flooding from the Southern Plains to the Great Lakes; Record Heat in the East

Widely scattered severe thunderstorms may produce damaging winds, hail, and flash flooding from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes. Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions will persist across portions of the Southwest and Southern High Plains due to gusty winds and dry conditions. An early-season heatwave will challenge temperature records across the eastern U.S.. Read More >

Current conditions at

Winchester Regional (KOKV)

Lat: 39.15°NLon: 78.15°WElev: 728ft.

Partly Cloudy

90°F

32°C

Humidity 38%
Wind Speed W 9 mph
Barometer 30.13 in
Dewpoint 61°F (16°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index90°F (32°C)
Last update 19 May 11:55 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles WNW Stephens City VA

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. West wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 95 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Light southwest wind.

    Low: 70 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after 2pm. High near 92. Calm wind becoming west 5 to 8 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 92 °F

    Sunny then
    Showers

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then showers likely. Low around 56. North wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 56 °F

    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers, mainly before 2pm. High near 65. Northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 65 °F

    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely, mainly after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 51 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. High near 61. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 61 °F

    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a low around 51. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 51 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 70 °F

    Showers
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. West wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Light southwest wind.
Wednesday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after 2pm. High near 92. Calm wind becoming west 5 to 8 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then showers likely. Low around 56. North wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
Showers, mainly before 2pm. High near 65. Northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Thursday Night
Showers likely, mainly after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. High near 61. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Friday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a low around 51. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Sunday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Memorial Day
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles WNW Stephens City VA
 39.13°N 78.31°W (Elev. 892 ft)
Last Update:
10:53 am EDT May 19, 2026
Forecast Valid:
12pm EDT May 19, 2026-6pm EDT May 25, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation