Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Miami University Airport (KOXD)

Lat: 39.5°NLon: 84.78°WElev: 1041ft.

Partly Cloudy

76°F

24°C

Humidity 42%
Wind Speed SW 12 mph
Barometer 29.75 in
Dewpoint 51°F (11°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index78°F (26°C)
Last update 16 Jun 5:35 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles WNW Mount Carmel IN

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly sunny, with a high near 76. Southwest wind around 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 76 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 9pm and 11pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Southwest wind 3 to 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 56 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Light southwest wind becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 81 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 11pm and 4am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall.  Low around 68. Breezy, with a south wind 17 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.

    Low: 68 °F

    Heavy Rain
    and Breezy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 7am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 7am and 8am.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. West wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 79 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Mostly Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58.

    Low: 58 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.

    High: 76 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 56.

    Low: 56 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 78.

    High: 78 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 76. Southwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 9pm and 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Southwest wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Light southwest wind becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 11pm and 4am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 68. Breezy, with a south wind 17 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Thursday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 7am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 7am and 8am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. West wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58.
Juneteenth
Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 56.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 78.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday
Partly sunny, with a high near 79.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles WNW Mount Carmel IN
 39.41°N 84.93°W (Elev. 899 ft)
4:00 pm EDT Jun 16, 2026
5pm EDT Jun 16, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 23, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database