National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Dayton / Wright-Patterson Air Force Base (KFFO)

Lat: 39.83°NLon: 84.05°WElev: 823ft.

Fair

67°F

19°C

Humidity 69%
Wind Speed SW 7 mph
Barometer 29.74 in (1006.8 mb)
Dewpoint 57°F (14°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 17 Jun 8:55 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

New Carlisle OH

  • Today

    Today: Increasing clouds, with a high near 81. South wind 6 to 11 mph.

    High: 81 °F

    Increasing
    Clouds

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 11pm and 3am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 68. Breezy, with a south wind 20 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    Low: 68 °F

    Heavy Rain
    and Breezy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 79. Breezy, with a west wind 17 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph.

    High: 79 °F

    Sunny and
    Breezy

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. West wind 5 to 9 mph becoming calm after midnight.

    Low: 57 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: Sunny, with a high near 77. West wind 5 to 15 mph.

    High: 77 °F

    Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 56.

    Low: 56 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 80.

    High: 80 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.

    Low: 60 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 80 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Today
Increasing clouds, with a high near 81. South wind 6 to 11 mph.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 11pm and 3am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 68. Breezy, with a south wind 20 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 79. Breezy, with a west wind 17 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. West wind 5 to 9 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Juneteenth
Sunny, with a high near 77. West wind 5 to 15 mph.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 56.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 80.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Sunday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 79.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
New Carlisle OH
 39.91°N 84.04°W (Elev. 899 ft)
Last Update:
4:00 am EDT Jun 17, 2026
Forecast Valid:
9am EDT Jun 17, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 23, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation