Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Dayton / Wright-Patterson Air Force Base (KFFO)

Lat: 39.83°NLon: 84.05°WElev: 823ft.

Fair

74°F

23°C

Humidity 41%
Wind Speed SW 10 mph
Barometer 29.84 in (1010.4 mb)
Dewpoint 49°F (9°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 16 Jun 10:55 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles ESE New Carlisle OH

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Southwest wind around 11 mph.

    High: 77 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 57 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 79 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Low around 68. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.

    Low: 68 °F

    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. Breezy, with a west wind 18 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph.

    High: 79 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    and Breezy

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 58.

    Low: 58 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: Sunny, with a high near 77.

    High: 77 °F

    Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 56.

    Low: 56 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 78.

    High: 78 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Southwest wind around 11 mph.
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 68. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. Breezy, with a west wind 18 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 58.
Juneteenth
Sunny, with a high near 77.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 56.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 78.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Sunday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday Night
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles ESE New Carlisle OH
 39.93°N 84.01°W (Elev. 899 ft)
4:00 am EDT Jun 16, 2026
12pm EDT Jun 16, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 22, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database