National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Briefing for Flash Flood Risk through Tuesday

Showers and scattered thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall will lead to areas of flash flooding through Tuesday. There is also potential for isolated severe thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts. See this briefing for details on these threats. Read More >

Current conditions at

Monmouth Executive Airport (KBLM)

Lat: 40.18°NLon: 74.13°WElev: 157ft.

Overcast

75°F

24°C

Humidity 100%
Wind Speed NW 5 mph
Barometer 30.06 in (1017.8 mb)
Dewpoint 75°F (24°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 15 Jul 3:56 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

Toms River NJ

  • Overnight

    Overnight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 73. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 73 °F

    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 4pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 85 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 73. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

    Low: 73 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Light southwest wind becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 90 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 74 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then a chance of showers between 8am and 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 92 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 76.

    Low: 76 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 92 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 71 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 73. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 4pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 73. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Wednesday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Light southwest wind becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then a chance of showers between 8am and 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 76.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Toms River NJ
 39.96°N 74.2°W (Elev. 16 ft)
Last Update:
4:13 am EDT Jul 15, 2025
Forecast Valid:
4am EDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm EDT Jul 21, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation