Heat Wave and Severe Thunderstorms this Independence Day

A prolonged, dangerous heat wave will persist through the Independence Day weekend across the Ohio Valley, Midwest, and Mid-Atlantic. Numerous temperature records are expected. Clusters of severe thunderstorms will move across parts of the Allegheny Plateau into Mid Atlantic this Independence Day, with potential for widespread damaging winds. Additional severe thunderstorms in the Great Plains. Read More >

Current conditions at

Harrisburg, Capital City Airport (KCXY)

Lat: 40.22°NLon: 76.86°WElev: 335ft.

Fair

74°F

23°C

Humidity 88%
Wind Speed N 3 mph
Barometer 29.92 in (1013.0 mb)
Dewpoint 70°F (21°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 5 Jul 2:56 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles W Carlisle PA

  • Overnight

    Overnight: A chance of showers, mainly before 4am.  Patchy fog.  Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Calm wind.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Low: 70 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 3pm and 4pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 4pm. Some of the storms could be severe and produce heavy rainfall.  Increasing clouds, with a high near 89. Calm wind.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 89 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Severe
    Thunderstorms

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then showers likely. Some of the storms could be severe and produce heavy rainfall.  Patchy fog after midnight. Low around 68. Light and variable wind.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.

    Low: 68 °F

    Severe
    Thunderstorms
    then Heavy
    Rain and
    Patchy Fog

  • Monday

    Monday: Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after noon.  Cloudy, with a high near 79. Light east wind.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 79 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 5am, then showers likely.  Low around 65. Northeast wind 3 to 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 65 °F

    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 11am.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 79 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 64 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 83 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of thunderstorms before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 66 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
A chance of showers, mainly before 4am. Patchy fog. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 3pm and 4pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 4pm. Some of the storms could be severe and produce heavy rainfall. Increasing clouds, with a high near 89. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Sunday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then showers likely. Some of the storms could be severe and produce heavy rainfall. Patchy fog after midnight. Low around 68. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Monday
Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after noon. Cloudy, with a high near 79. Light east wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 5am, then showers likely. Low around 65. Northeast wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tuesday
Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 11am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Wednesday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles W Carlisle PA
 40.2°N 77.26°W (Elev. 499 ft)
2:36 am EDT Jul 5, 2026
3am EDT Jul 5, 2026-6pm EDT Jul 11, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database