National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Flooding Risks from Tropical Moisture Across the Southeast and Southwest

Tropical moisture from Isaias and Rachel will impact portions of the Southeast and Southwest this weekend. Flash flooding, strong winds and even a threat for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Meanwhile, strong winds and dry fuels are raising fire weather concerns across the central Great Basin and western High Plains. Across the northern Rockies, first winter storm of the season. Read More >

Current conditions at

Harrisburg, Capital City Airport (KCXY)

Lat: 40.22°NLon: 76.86°WElev: 335ft.

Light Rain

58°F

14°C

Humidity 81%
Wind Speed NE 5 mph
Barometer 30.34 in (1027.3 mb)
Dewpoint 52°F (11°C)
Visibility 8.00 mi
Last update 11 Oct 3:56 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles WNW Carlisle PA

  • Overnight

    Overnight: Rain. Low around 57. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

    Low: 57 °F

    Rain

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Rain, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Patchy fog. High near 63. East wind 7 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.

    High: 63 °F

    Rain and
    Patchy Fog

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Rain likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of rain and thunderstorms, mainly between 11pm and 3am. Patchy fog. Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 58. North wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 58 °F

    Rain Likely
    and Patchy
    Fog then
    Chance Rain
    and Patchy
    Fog

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, partly sunny, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind 3 to 8 mph.

    High: 73 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then Mostly
    Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Calm wind.

    Low: 55 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 79.

    High: 79 °F

    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 64.

    Low: 64 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.

    High: 76 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 54.

    Low: 54 °F

    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Rain. Low around 57. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Sunday
Rain, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Patchy fog. High near 63. East wind 7 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Sunday Night
Rain likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of rain and thunderstorms, mainly between 11pm and 3am. Patchy fog. Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 58. North wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Columbus Day
Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, partly sunny, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind 3 to 8 mph.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Calm wind.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 79.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 64.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 54.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 67.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 68. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
Partly sunny, with a high near 58.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles WNW Carlisle PA
 40.23°N 77.29°W (Elev. 502 ft)
Last Update:
2:26 am EDT Oct 11, 2026
Forecast Valid:
4am EDT Oct 11, 2026-6pm EDT Oct 17, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation