National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heat Wave and Severe Thunderstorms this Independence Day

A prolonged, dangerous heat wave will persist through the Independence Day weekend across the Ohio Valley, Midwest, and Mid-Atlantic. Numerous temperature records are expected. Clusters of severe thunderstorms will move across parts of the Allegheny Plateau into Mid Atlantic this Independence Day, with potential for widespread damaging winds. Additional severe thunderstorms in the Great Plains. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Harrisburg, Capital City Airport (KCXY)

Lat: 40.22°NLon: 76.86°WElev: 335ft.

Fair

98°F

37°C

Humidity 35%
Wind Speed SW 9 mph
Barometer 29.85 in (1010.5 mb)
Dewpoint 66°F (19°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index102°F (39°C)
Last update 4 Jul 5:56 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Dauphin PA

Severe T-storm Watch until July 4, 11:00pm
Extreme Heat Warning July 4, 06:23pm until July 4, 08:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
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  •  
    Severe T-storm Watch until July 4, 11:00pm
    Extreme Heat Warning July 4, 06:23pm until July 4, 08:00pm

    NOW: Multiple hazards in effect

    Click HERE for Details

  • Tonight

    Low: 70 °F

    Severe
    Thunderstorms

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 88 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2am and 3am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3am. Low around 66. East wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.

    Low: 66 °F

    Showers

  • Monday

    Monday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 77. East wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    High: 77 °F

    Showers then
    T-storms

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 64. Northeast wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 64 °F

    T-storms then
    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 78 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A chance of thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 63 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 83.

    High: 83 °F

    Mostly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 1am. Some of the storms could be severe. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 70. West wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Sunday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2am and 3am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3am. Low around 66. East wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Monday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 77. East wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 64. Northeast wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tuesday
Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday Night
A chance of thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 83.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 66.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 88.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 69.
Friday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Dauphin PA
 40.37°N 76.91°W (Elev. 764 ft)
Last Update:
4:16 pm EDT Jul 4, 2026
Forecast Valid:
6pm EDT Jul 4, 2026-6pm EDT Jul 11, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation