National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest and Arizona; Heat Continues in the Southeast and Southwest

Thunderstorms, some severe, may lead to scattered instances of flash flooding across the Midwest and Ohio Valley and southern Arizona. The threat will shift to the Mid-Atlantic coast on Thursday. Dangerous heat persists in the South and Southeast while building into the Southwest. Overnight lows will be so warm that little-to-no relief from the scorching daytime highs will be available. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Somerville, Somerset Airport (KSMQ)

Lat: 40.62°NLon: 74.67°WElev: 105ft.

Fair

79°F

26°C

Humidity 60%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 29.88 in (1011.6 mb)
Dewpoint 64°F (18°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index81°F (27°C)
Last update 19 Aug 6:53 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Warren NJ

Flood Watch August 20, 12:00pm until August 21, 02:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 67. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph.

    Low: 67 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. High near 78. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    High: 78 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 11pm. Low around 62. North wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 62 °F

    Showers then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: A slight chance of showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 79 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A chance of showers, mainly after 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Low: 65 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 77 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 65 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 81 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 62 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 67. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph.
Thursday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. High near 78. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Thursday Night
Showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 11pm. Low around 62. North wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Friday
A slight chance of showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers, mainly after 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Saturday
A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 79.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 60.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 80.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 61.
Wednesday
A chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Warren NJ
 40.62°N 74.53°W (Elev. 449 ft)
Last Update:
7:12 pm EDT Aug 19, 2026
Forecast Valid:
7pm EDT Aug 19, 2026-6pm EDT Aug 26, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation