National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Heat Impact July 4th Weekend

A threat for severe thunderstorms will impact the July 4th weekend, bringing the potential for damaging wind gusts and localized flash flooding through Sunday. Hazardous heat continues into Sunday as well. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Caldwell, Essex County Airport (KCDW)

Lat: 40.88°NLon: 74.28°WElev: 171ft.

Fair

72°F

22°C

Humidity 97%
Wind Speed W 3 mph
Barometer 29.91 in (1013.0 mb)
Dewpoint 71°F (22°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 5 Jul 3:53 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

Kinnelon NJ

Flood Watch July 5, 02:00pm until July 6, 08:00pm
Heat Advisory July 5, 08:00am until July 5, 08:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
Heat Advisory

  • Today

    Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 81 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Heavy Rain

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 65. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.

    Low: 65 °F

    Heavy Rain

  • Monday

    Monday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 70. East wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.

    High: 70 °F

    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 61. Northeast wind around 5 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 61 °F

    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 73 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a chance of showers between 11pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 61 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 79.

    High: 79 °F

    Partly Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 65.

    Low: 65 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 86.

    High: 86 °F

    Mostly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 65. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Monday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 70. East wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 61. Northeast wind around 5 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tuesday
Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a chance of showers between 11pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
Partly sunny, with a high near 79.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 65.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 86.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers between 8pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Kinnelon NJ
 41°N 74.37°W (Elev. 669 ft)
Last Update:
4:08 am EDT Jul 5, 2026
Forecast Valid:
4am EDT Jul 5, 2026-6pm EDT Jul 11, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation