Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Cattaraugus County-Olean Airport (KOLE)

Lat: 42.24°NLon: 78.37°WElev: 2135ft.

Fair

72°F

22°C

Humidity 69%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.19 in
Dewpoint 61°F (16°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 15 Jul 9:15 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles SE Black Creek NY

  • Today

    Today: Sunny, with a high near 86. Calm wind.

    High: 86 °F

    Sunny

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 66. Calm wind.

    Low: 66 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. Southwest wind 3 to 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 84 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 5am, then a slight chance of showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Light southwest wind.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 67 °F

    T-storms
    Likely then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. West wind 6 to 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 84 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 8pm and 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. West wind around 6 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 62 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Friday

    Friday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. North wind around 5 mph.

    High: 74 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Calm wind.

    Low: 55 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 79.

    High: 79 °F

    Mostly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
Sunny, with a high near 86. Calm wind.
Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 66. Calm wind.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. Southwest wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Wednesday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 5am, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Light southwest wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. West wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. West wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. North wind around 5 mph.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Calm wind.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 79.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 79.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles SE Black Creek NY
 42.28°N 78.23°W (Elev. 1578 ft)
7:36 am EDT Jul 15, 2025
9am EDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm EDT Jul 21, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database