Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Cattaraugus County-Olean Airport (KOLE)

Lat: 42.24°NLon: 78.37°WElev: 2135ft.

Partly Cloudy

46°F

8°C

Humidity 100%
Wind Speed SE 3 mph
Barometer 29.76 in
Dewpoint 46°F (8°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 17 Jun 3:15 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles WNW Black Creek NY

  • Overnight

    Overnight: A chance of showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. South wind around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Low: 53 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Mostly cloudy through mid morning, then becoming sunny, with a high near 74. Southwest wind 6 to 9 mph.

    High: 74 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2am.  Low around 57. Breezy, with a light south wind increasing to 16 to 21 mph in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 57 °F

    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 8am.  High near 73. West wind 16 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 73 °F

    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely, mainly before 8pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. West wind 7 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Low: 53 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. West wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 70 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Slight
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50. West wind 6 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

    Low: 50 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 68. West wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.

    High: 68 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 51.

    Low: 51 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Wednesday
Mostly cloudy through mid morning, then becoming sunny, with a high near 74. Southwest wind 6 to 9 mph.
Wednesday Night
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2am. Low around 57. Breezy, with a light south wind increasing to 16 to 21 mph in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 8am. High near 73. West wind 16 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
Showers likely, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. West wind 7 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Juneteenth
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. West wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 50. West wind 6 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 68. West wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 51.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles WNW Black Creek NY
 42.31°N 78.31°W (Elev. 1611 ft)
2:22 am EDT Jun 17, 2026
3am EDT Jun 17, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 23, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database