Watching Hurricane Erin; Heavy Rainfall Threat for Upper Midwest; Heatrisk for Mississippi Valley

Hurricane Erin continues to track westward with its outer bands bringing heavy rainfall and gusty winds for Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands. Life-threatening surf and rip currents are occurring and will spread across the Atlantic coasts this week. Meanwhile, heavy rainfall and possible flooding are in the forecast for upper Midwest through Monday. Heatrisk continues for the Mississippi Valley. Read More >

Current conditions at

Dunkirk, Chautauqua County / Dunkirk Airport (KDKK)

Lat: 42.49°NLon: 79.28°WElev: 692ft.

Overcast

76°F

24°C

Humidity 82%
Wind Speed NW 12 mph
Barometer 29.97 in (1014.5 mb)
Dewpoint 70°F (21°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index77°F (25°C)
Last update 17 Aug 1:53 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles W South Dayton NY

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 5pm, then showers likely after 5pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Northwest wind around 9 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 77 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers between 8pm and 9pm.  Cloudy during the early evening, then gradual clearing, with a low around 50. Northeast wind 5 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 50 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Monday

    Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. Northeast wind 7 to 9 mph.

    High: 75 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 55. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming southeast after midnight.

    Low: 55 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. South wind around 7 mph.

    High: 79 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a chance of showers between 11pm and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. South wind around 6 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 60 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers.  Partly sunny, with a high near 77. South wind around 7 mph becoming west in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 77 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Northeast wind around 6 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 59 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Partly sunny, with a high near 76.

    High: 76 °F

    Partly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 5pm, then showers likely after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Northwest wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers between 8pm and 9pm. Cloudy during the early evening, then gradual clearing, with a low around 50. Northeast wind 5 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. Northeast wind 7 to 9 mph.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 55. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming southeast after midnight.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. South wind around 7 mph.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a chance of showers between 11pm and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. South wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. South wind around 7 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
Partly sunny, with a high near 76.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 55.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 81.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 60.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 82.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles W South Dayton NY
 42.36°N 79.13°W (Elev. 1417 ft)
1:36 pm EDT Aug 17, 2025
1pm EDT Aug 17, 2025-6pm EDT Aug 23, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database