Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Dunkirk, Chautauqua County / Dunkirk Airport (KDKK)

Lat: 42.49°NLon: 79.28°WElev: 692ft.

Fair

72°F

22°C

Humidity 44%
Wind Speed W 12 mph
Barometer 29.78 in (1008.2 mb)
Dewpoint 49°F (9°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 16 Jun 2:53 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles NNW South Dayton NY

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. South wind 6 to 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 54 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers, mainly before 3pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. West wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    High: 72 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after 11pm.  Low around 58. Breezy, with a light south wind increasing to 17 to 22 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 37 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 58 °F

    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  High near 74. Breezy, with a west wind 17 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 74 °F

    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers, mainly before 8pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. West wind 9 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Low: 55 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. West wind 10 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 70 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A chance of showers before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. West wind 7 to 11 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 53 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A chance of showers after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. West wind 11 to 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 68 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A chance of showers before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 53 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. South wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
A chance of showers, mainly before 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. West wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Wednesday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after 11pm. Low around 58. Breezy, with a light south wind increasing to 17 to 22 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. High near 74. Breezy, with a west wind 17 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. West wind 9 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Juneteenth
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. West wind 10 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. West wind 7 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. West wind 11 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 73. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday Night
A chance of thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 74.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles NNW South Dayton NY
 42.43°N 79.09°W (Elev. 1388 ft)
2:22 pm EDT Jun 16, 2026
3pm EDT Jun 16, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 23, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database