Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Genesee County Airport (KGVQ)

Lat: 43.03°NLon: 78.17°WElev: 914ft.

Partly Cloudy

69°F

21°C

Humidity 61%
Wind Speed S 12 G 17 mph
Barometer 29.66 in (1003.9 mb)
Dewpoint 55°F (13°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 17 Jun 10:56 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

Warsaw NY

  • Today

    Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 3pm, then a slight chance of showers between 3pm and 4pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 73. Southwest wind 11 to 14 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 73 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 4am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am.  Low around 58. Breezy, with a light south wind increasing to 17 to 22 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 32 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 58 °F

    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 72. Breezy, with a west wind 20 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 39 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 72 °F

    Showers
    Likely and
    Breezy

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers, mainly before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. West wind 10 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Low: 55 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. Breezy, with a west wind 13 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 69 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A chance of showers before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. West wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 52 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 67. West wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

    High: 67 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52. West wind 5 to 9 mph.

    Low: 52 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.

    High: 71 °F

    Mostly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 3pm, then a slight chance of showers between 3pm and 4pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 73. Southwest wind 11 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 4am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am. Low around 58. Breezy, with a light south wind increasing to 17 to 22 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 72. Breezy, with a west wind 20 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 39 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers, mainly before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. West wind 10 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Juneteenth
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. Breezy, with a west wind 13 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. West wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 67. West wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 52. West wind 5 to 9 mph.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday
Showers likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 71. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Warsaw NY
 42.73°N 78.12°W (Elev. 1263 ft)
9:57 am EDT Jun 17, 2026
11am EDT Jun 17, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 23, 2026
 
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