Heavy to Excessive Rainfall in the Southeast U.S.; Critical Fire Weather in the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest

A slow-moving storm system will continue to produce widespread heavy showers and thunderstorms which may bring excessive rainfall and flooding as it tracks across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic regions today into Wednesday. Gusty winds and dry fuels under potential record setting temperatures will support widespread critical fire weather in the northern Plains and Upper Midwest today. Read More >

Current conditions at

Buffalo, Greater Buffalo International Airport (KBUF)

Lat: 42.94°NLon: 78.74°WElev: 709ft.

Mostly Cloudy

77°F

25°C

Humidity 35%
Wind Speed NE 6 mph
Barometer 30.04 in (1017.2 mb)
Dewpoint 47°F (8°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index78°F (26°C)
Last update 12 May 7:54 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Orchard Park NY

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Increasing clouds, with a low around 61. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in the evening.

    Low: 61 °F

    Increasing
    Clouds

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A chance of showers.  Cloudy, with a high near 73. Southeast wind 3 to 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    High: 73 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a chance of showers between 11pm and 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am.  Cloudy, with a low around 61. Southeast wind around 9 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 61 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 5pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. Southeast wind around 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 73 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Southeast wind around 6 mph.

    Low: 60 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 75. Southwest wind 3 to 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 75 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 62 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. Southwest wind 7 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 75 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A chance of showers.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 60 °F

    Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Increasing clouds, with a low around 61. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in the evening.
Tuesday
A chance of showers. Cloudy, with a high near 73. Southeast wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a chance of showers between 11pm and 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Cloudy, with a low around 61. Southeast wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. Southeast wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Southeast wind around 6 mph.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 75. Southwest wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. Southwest wind 7 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
Showers likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 65. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 64.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Orchard Park NY
 42.77°N 78.74°W (Elev. 879 ft)
7:36 pm EDT May 12, 2025
8pm EDT May 12, 2025-6pm EDT May 19, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

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