National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Buffalo, Greater Buffalo International Airport (KBUF)

Lat: 42.94°NLon: 78.74°WElev: 709ft.

Mostly Cloudy

59°F

15°C

Humidity 78%
Wind Speed S 7 mph
Barometer 29.69 in (1005.2 mb)
Dewpoint 52°F (11°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 17 Jun 6:54 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

Blasdell NY

  • Today

    Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. South wind 7 to 9 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

    High: 73 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Low around 61. Breezy, with a light south wind becoming southeast 17 to 22 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 61 °F

    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. Breezy, with a west wind 21 to 24 mph, with gusts as high as 49 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 72 °F

    Showers
    Likely and
    Breezy

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 58. Breezy, with a west wind 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 9 to 14 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Low: 58 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. West wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 71 °F

    Sunny then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. West wind 6 to 9 mph.

    Low: 56 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 70. West wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.

    High: 70 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 56. West wind 3 to 8 mph.

    Low: 56 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.

    High: 72 °F

    Mostly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. South wind 7 to 9 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Low around 61. Breezy, with a light south wind becoming southeast 17 to 22 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. Breezy, with a west wind 21 to 24 mph, with gusts as high as 49 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 58. Breezy, with a west wind 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 9 to 14 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Juneteenth
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. West wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. West wind 6 to 9 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 70. West wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 56. West wind 3 to 8 mph.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 73. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 58.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 74.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Blasdell NY
 42.78°N 78.86°W (Elev. 587 ft)
Last Update:
3:57 am EDT Jun 17, 2026
Forecast Valid:
7am EDT Jun 17, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 23, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Chance of Precipitation