Watching Hurricane Erin; Heavy Rainfall Threat for Upper Midwest; Heatrisk for Mississippi Valley

Hurricane Erin continues to track westward with its outer bands bringing heavy rainfall and gusty winds for Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands. Life-threatening surf and rip currents are occurring and will spread across the Atlantic coasts this week. Meanwhile, heavy rainfall and possible flooding are in the forecast for upper Midwest through Monday. Heatrisk continues for the Mississippi Valley. Read More >

Current conditions at

Genesee County Airport (KGVQ)

Lat: 43.03°NLon: 78.17°WElev: 914ft.

N/A

Humidity NA
Wind Speed NA
Barometer NA
Dewpoint N/A
Visibility NA
Last update *** Not a current observation ***
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles NNE Pavilion NY

  • Today

    Today: Showers and thunderstorms before 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 3pm and 5pm, then a chance of showers after 5pm.  High near 79. West wind 7 to 13 mph becoming north in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 79 °F

    Showers

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers before 7pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 7pm and 8pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Northeast wind around 11 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 55 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Monday

    Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. Northeast wind around 10 mph.

    High: 73 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight.

    Low: 55 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A chance of showers, mainly after 2pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. Southeast wind around 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    High: 80 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. South wind around 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 63 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. South wind around 8 mph becoming north in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 78 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of thunderstorms before 8pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Northeast wind around 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 60 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.

    High: 77 °F

    Mostly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
Showers and thunderstorms before 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 3pm and 5pm, then a chance of showers after 5pm. High near 79. West wind 7 to 13 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A chance of showers before 7pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 7pm and 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Northeast wind around 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. Northeast wind around 10 mph.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.
Tuesday
A chance of showers, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. Southeast wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. South wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. South wind around 8 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Northeast wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 56.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 84.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 62.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 86.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles NNE Pavilion NY
 42.92°N 77.97°W (Elev. 997 ft)
7:36 am EDT Aug 17, 2025
9am EDT Aug 17, 2025-6pm EDT Aug 23, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database