National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Buffalo, Greater Buffalo International Airport (KBUF)

Lat: 42.94°NLon: 78.74°WElev: 709ft.

Mostly Cloudy

72°F

22°C

Humidity 41%
Wind Speed SW 10 mph
Barometer 29.73 in (1006.6 mb)
Dewpoint 47°F (8°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 16 Jun 6:54 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles N Alden NY

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers before 1am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 1am and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. South wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 56 °F

    Partly Cloudy
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A slight chance of showers before 2pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 3pm. Mostly cloudy through mid morning, then becoming sunny, with a high near 73. Southwest wind 8 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 73 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Slight
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2am. Low around 58. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph increasing to 11 to 16 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 34 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 58 °F

    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. High near 73. Breezy, with a west wind 20 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 47 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 73 °F

    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers, mainly before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. West wind 11 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Low: 56 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. West wind 11 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 70 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. West wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 52 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. West wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 69 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A chance of showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 53 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
A chance of showers before 1am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 1am and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. South wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers before 2pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 3pm. Mostly cloudy through mid morning, then becoming sunny, with a high near 73. Southwest wind 8 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday Night
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2am. Low around 58. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph increasing to 11 to 16 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 34 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. High near 73. Breezy, with a west wind 20 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 47 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers, mainly before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. West wind 11 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Juneteenth
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. West wind 11 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. West wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. West wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 71.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday Night
A chance of thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 74.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles N Alden NY
 42.94°N 78.47°W (Elev. 866 ft)
Last Update:
5:44 pm EDT Jun 16, 2026
Forecast Valid:
7pm EDT Jun 16, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 23, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Chance of Precipitation