Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Rochester, Greater Rochester International Airport (KROC)

Lat: 43.12°NLon: 77.68°WElev: 558ft.

Light Rain

59°F

15°C

Humidity 83%
Wind Speed S 5 mph
Barometer 29.72 in (1006.5 mb)
Dewpoint 54°F (12°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 17 Jun 7:54 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles SSE North Chili NY

  • Today

    Today: A chance of showers before 2pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 3pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 77. South wind 8 to 10 mph becoming west in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 77 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers likely before 2am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 2am and 4am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am.  Low around 60. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast 12 to 17 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 31 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 60 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Breezy, with a west wind 20 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 77 °F

    Showers
    Likely and
    Breezy

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. West wind 13 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Low: 57 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 74. Breezy, with a west wind 14 to 22 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 74 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Slight
    Chance
    T-storms and
    Breezy

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. West wind around 14 mph.

    Low: 54 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 73. Breezy, with a west wind 15 to 20 mph.

    High: 73 °F

    Sunny then
    Mostly Sunny
    and Breezy

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. West wind 7 to 11 mph.

    Low: 54 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.

    High: 76 °F

    Mostly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
A chance of showers before 2pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. South wind 8 to 10 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers likely before 2am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 2am and 4am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am. Low around 60. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast 12 to 17 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Breezy, with a west wind 20 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. West wind 13 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Juneteenth
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 74. Breezy, with a west wind 14 to 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. West wind around 14 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 73. Breezy, with a west wind 15 to 20 mph.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. West wind 7 to 11 mph.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 56.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles SSE North Chili NY
 43.09°N 77.79°W (Elev. 551 ft)
7:57 am EDT Jun 17, 2026
8am EDT Jun 17, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 23, 2026
 
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