Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Genesee County Airport (KGVQ)

Lat: 43.03°NLon: 78.17°WElev: 914ft.

Overcast

61°F

16°C

Humidity 65%
Wind Speed S 8 mph
Barometer 29.70 in (1005.3 mb)
Dewpoint 49°F (9°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 17 Jun 6:56 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles NNE Holley NY

  • Today

    Today: A slight chance of showers before 2pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 3pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. South wind 6 to 8 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 78 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am.  Low around 62. Southwest wind 6 to 11 mph becoming southeast 12 to 17 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 31 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 62 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Breezy, with a west wind 20 to 24 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 78 °F

    Showers
    Likely and
    Breezy

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. West wind 13 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Low: 59 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: Sunny, with a high near 76. Breezy, with a west wind 14 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.

    High: 76 °F

    Sunny then
    Sunny and
    Breezy

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 56. West wind 11 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.

    Low: 56 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 74. West wind 14 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.

    High: 74 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. West wind 7 to 9 mph.

    Low: 56 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.

    High: 77 °F

    Mostly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
A slight chance of showers before 2pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. South wind 6 to 8 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Low around 62. Southwest wind 6 to 11 mph becoming southeast 12 to 17 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Breezy, with a west wind 20 to 24 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. West wind 13 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Juneteenth
Sunny, with a high near 76. Breezy, with a west wind 14 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 56. West wind 11 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 74. West wind 14 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. West wind 7 to 9 mph.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 75. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 59.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 78.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles NNE Holley NY
 43.27°N 78°W (Elev. 384 ft)
3:57 am EDT Jun 17, 2026
7am EDT Jun 17, 2026-6pm EDT Jun 23, 2026
 
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