Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Buffalo (K2WX)

Lat: 45.6°NLon: 103.55°WElev: 3002ft.

63°F

17°C

Humidity 84%
Wind Speed NE 12 mph
Barometer 30.03 in (1015.1 mb)
Dewpoint 58°F (14°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 15 Jul 11:56 am MDT
Extended Forecast for

8 Miles NNW Buffalo SD

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm.  Cloudy, with a high near 64. Breezy, with a northeast wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 64 °F

    Showers
    Likely and
    Breezy

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 10pm.  Low around 47. Breezy, with an east wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%.

    Low: 47 °F

    Breezy.
    Showers
    Likely then
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after noon.  Patchy fog between 9am and 10am. High near 59. Breezy, with an east wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 59 °F

    Showers and
    Patchy Fog
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 47 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. Breezy, with a southeast wind 15 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph.

    High: 72 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    and Breezy

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Breezy, with a southeast wind 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.

    Low: 55 °F

    Chance
    T-storms and
    Breezy

  • Friday

    Friday: Sunny, with a high near 82. North wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    High: 82 °F

    Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. North wind 5 to 15 mph becoming east after midnight.

    Low: 57 °F

    Partly Cloudy
    then Slight
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Sunny, with a high near 82.

    High: 82 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Slight
    Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 64. Breezy, with a northeast wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 10pm. Low around 47. Breezy, with an east wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Wednesday
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after noon. Patchy fog between 9am and 10am. High near 59. Breezy, with an east wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Wednesday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. Breezy, with a southeast wind 15 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph.
Thursday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Breezy, with a southeast wind 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 82. North wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Friday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. North wind 5 to 15 mph becoming east after midnight.
Saturday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Sunny, with a high near 82.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61.
Sunday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
8 Miles NNW Buffalo SD
 45.69°N 103.59°W (Elev. 3130 ft)
10:09 am MDT Jul 15, 2025
12pm MDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm MDT Jul 21, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database