National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Bristol / Johnson / Kingsport, Tri-City Regional Airport (KTRI)

Lat: 36.48°NLon: 82.4°WElev: 1519ft.

Mostly Cloudy

90°F

32°C

Humidity 47%
Wind Speed SW 5 mph
Barometer 30.06 in (1015.1 mb)
Dewpoint 67°F (19°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index93°F (34°C)
Last update 15 Jul 4:53 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles SSE Mount Carmel TN

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 98. Calm wind. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 91 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Calm wind.

    Low: 70 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 99. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 91 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 71 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 11am. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 90. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 90 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 2am, then a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 71 °F

    T-storms
    Likely then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 88 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms
    Likely

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 71 °F

    T-storms
    Likely then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 88 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 98. Calm wind. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Calm wind.
Wednesday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 99. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday
A chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 11am. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 90. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 2am, then a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
A chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 91.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles SSE Mount Carmel TN
 36.52°N 82.63°W (Elev. 1299 ft)
Last Update:
1:42 pm EDT Jul 15, 2025
Forecast Valid:
5pm EDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm EDT Jul 22, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation