National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms in the Northeast and Northern Plains; Critical Fire Weather in the West

Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of damaging wind gusts and hail are forecast across the Northeast U.S. and North Dakota today. Heavy to excessive rainfall is possible over eastern New Mexico into western Texas and over the western Florida peninsula today. Critical fire weather conditions will persist today over parts of the interior Northwest and Great Basin. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Culpeper Regional Airport (KCJR)

Lat: 38.53°NLon: 77.86°WElev: 295ft.

Fair

89°F

32°C

Humidity 44%
Wind Speed SW 5 mph
Barometer 29.92 in
Dewpoint 64°F (18°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index91°F (33°C)
Last update 3 Jul 6:55 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles ENE Locust Grove VA

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Clear, with a low around 65. Calm wind.

    Low: 65 °F

    Clear

  • Independence Day

    Independence Day: Sunny, with a high near 86. Light north wind.

    High: 86 °F

    Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 63. Calm wind.

    Low: 63 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind.

    High: 88 °F

    Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 65. Calm wind.

    Low: 65 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 89.

    High: 89 °F

    Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70.

    Low: 70 °F

    Mostly Cloudy

  • Monday

    Monday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 90 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 71 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Clear, with a low around 65. Calm wind.
Independence Day
Sunny, with a high near 86. Light north wind.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 63. Calm wind.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 65. Calm wind.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 89.
Sunday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles ENE Locust Grove VA
 38.36°N 77.74°W (Elev. 299 ft)
Last Update:
4:29 pm EDT Jul 3, 2025
Forecast Valid:
7pm EDT Jul 3, 2025-6pm EDT Jul 10, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation