National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Briefing for Flash Flood, Severe Thunderstorm, and Heat Risks through Thursday

Scattered showers and thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall may lead to areas of flash flooding through tonight. There is potential for isolated severe thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts tonight and Thursday. Hot and very humid conditions are expected Thursday. See this briefing for details on these threats. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Monmouth Executive Airport (KBLM)

Lat: 40.18°NLon: 74.13°WElev: 157ft.

Overcast

81°F

27°C

Humidity 94%
Wind Speed SE 6 mph
Barometer 29.96 in (1014.5 mb)
Dewpoint 79°F (26°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index89°F (32°C)
Last update 16 Jul 5:56 pm EDT
Extended Forecast for

Loch Arbour NJ

Heat Advisory July 17, 10:00am until July 17, 08:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Heat Advisory

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 75 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Southwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 86 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. Southwest wind around 10 mph.

    Low: 76 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

    High: 81 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming north after midnight.

    Low: 72 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A slight chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 78 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 73 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8am, then a chance of showers between 8am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 80 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 71 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Southwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. Southwest wind around 10 mph.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming north after midnight.
Saturday
A slight chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8am, then a chance of showers between 8am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday Night
A chance of thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 71.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 78.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 72.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 79.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Loch Arbour NJ
 40.22°N 74°W (Elev. 0 ft)
Last Update:
4:12 pm EDT Jul 16, 2025
Forecast Valid:
6pm EDT Jul 16, 2025-6pm EDT Jul 23, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation