Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
007
FNUS75 KBOU 271059
FWSBOU
Spot Forecast for Forsythe II - Unit 44...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
459 AM MDT Mon May 27 2024
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION... A period of lighter winds is expected for the next
few days. Chances for wetting rain are minimal for Monday and
Tuesday with increasing chances expected for Wednesday and
Thursday.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................2 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 7 mph until 1100. North around
5 mph after 1700.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0800. 10300 ft AGL
after 1500.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900, then fair until 1000, then
good until 1200, then very good until 1500,
then excellent until 1600, then very good.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14 14 14 14 14 5 11 14 17 20 21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............44 49 55 57 60 62 64 66 68 68 67
RH..............52 44 35 33 29 26 24 22 19 20 21
20 FT wind dir..W W W W NW NW NW NW NW N N
20 FT wind spd..6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 5
20 FT wind gust.15 15 9 12 9 12 12 12 13 13 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 2.4 3.4 4.8 6.2 7.5 8.6 9.3 10 9.9 9.3
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.15 17 17 16 14 16 16 17 17 16 15
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..12 36 52 68 74 105 121 140 154 139 121
SmokeDispersion.P P F G G VG VG VG E VG VG
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................2 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph until 1900, then
variable up to 5 mph until 2100, then west
around 5 mph until 2300, then southwest until
0100, then variable up to 5 mph.
Mixing height.......7900 ft AGL until 1900. Below 1000 FT AGL after
2100.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 15 mph until 2100, then 8 to 10 mph
until 2300, then northwest 8 to 11 mph until
0200, then west 8 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good until 1900. Poor after 2400.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........14 12 12 23 14 12 10 11 10 11 9 8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............63 61 55 52 50 48 46 45 44 44 43 42
RH..............24 26 33 38 41 44 46 48 50 53 56 58
20 FT wind dir..N N NW W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..5 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3
20 FT wind gust.9 9 7 7 7 9 9 9 7 7 7 9
Mix hgt (kft)...7.9 4.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.W W W W W NW NW NW W W W W
Transp wind spd.15 12 9 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 7
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..102 41 8 5 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 4
SmokeDispersion.VG F P P P P P P P P P P
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent) until 1100, then
partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 1200, then
mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
CWR.................1 percent increasing to 23 percent in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph until 0800, then
south 5 to 7 mph until 1000, then southeast
around 5 mph until 1100, then variable up to 5
mph until 1200, then east around 8 mph until
1300, then variable up to 5 mph. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after
1200.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0700. 6900 ft AGL after
1000.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 10 mph until 0900, then northwest 8
to 12 mph until 1300, then west around 10 mph
until 1400, then southeast 8 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1100, then fair until 1200, then
good until 1600, then fair.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........8 8 8 8 25 35 56 57 57 62 66 66
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20 20
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 30 30 30 30 30 30
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 4 4 4 4 4 4
Temp............42 45 49 54 58 62 64 66 67 67 66 64
RH..............57 53 50 43 40 36 35 33 32 32 34 37
20 FT wind dir..W SW S S SE E E E E E SE SE
20 FT wind spd..6 6 5 5 5 3 8 2 3 3 3 2
20 FT wind gust.9 9 7 7 7 6 13 3 6 6 6 3
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.5 2.4 3.3 4.6 5.9 7.2 7.3 7.4 7.5 6.4 5.3
Transp wind dir.W W W NW NW W W W S SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.7 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 9 9 9 10
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 10 16 23 36 50 65 64 62 60 53 46
SmokeDispersion.P P P P P F G G G G F F
$$
Forecaster...Bonner
Requested by...Ed LeBlanc
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414199.10/BOU
.DELDT 05/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Edward.leblanc@usda.gov