503
FNUS53 KDTX 231932
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
332 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

.DISCUSSION...Seasonable temperatures with humid conditions will
persist through the midweek period. Scattered to numerous showers
move through the area Tuesday with a slight chance for additional
light showers on Wednesday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-241415-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
332 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 11 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....66-72.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3390-3890 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph becoming northeast early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (391).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....52-58.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........93-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 2 pm, then showers likely and chance
                    of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 60
                    percent.
Max temperature.....68-72.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........68-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2020-2520 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (193).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of thunderstorms
                    until 11 pm. Chance of showers until 2 am.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....58-62.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming west in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming west after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (13).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-241415-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
332 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........67-77 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2410-2910 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph decreasing to around 10 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (419).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Min temperature.....54-58.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 2 pm. Rain showers likely after 2 pm.
                    Chance of thunderstorms after 5 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........69-79 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1940-2440 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (184).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of thunderstorms
                    until 11 pm. Chance of showers until 2 am.
                    Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming southwest
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (13).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-241415-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
332 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....68-74.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........64-74 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3180-3680 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (360).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of showers
                    after 5 am. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....56-60.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........94-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph becoming east after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely.
                    Chance of thunderstorms after 5 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........73-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1730-2230 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (230).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of thunderstorms
                    until 11 pm. Chance of showers until 2 am.
                    Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....56-62.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 5 mph becoming southwest in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......880-1080 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming southwest in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (15).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs in the mid 70s. East winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the mid 70s.

$$

TF