156
FXUS63 KGID 112044
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
344 PM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Temperatures heat up on Wednesday with highs in the 90s to
  possibly around 100 degrees.

- Heat index values between 100 to 105 degrees are expected on
  Thursday across portions of north central Kansas.

- Storm chances (15% to around 25%) increase Thursday evening
  and night along the leading edge of a cold front. Some of
  these storms may be strong to severe.

- Rain and storm chances continue Friday through early next week
  with the highest chances (20% to near 70%) Friday night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 342 PM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024

Today and tonight...

Light and mostly variable winds along with mostly sunny to partly
cloudy skies are across south central and central Nebraska and north
central Kansas. High temperatures today are expected to mostly be in
the mid to upper 80s. Winds will increase out of the south tonight
with clear to mostly clear skies. Low temperatures tonight will be
in the 60s.

Wednesday through Saturday night...

An upper level ridge will be centered over Arizona and New Mexico on
Wednesday. Winds will increase out of the south to southwest
Wednesday afternoon as a surface low to the north of the area
strengthens. Temperatures Wednesday afternoon are expected to heat
up into the 90s with some places possibly reaching the triple
digits. The areas most likely to reach the triple digits will be
south and west of a line from Lexington to Holdrege to Phillipsburg
and Stockton. Some areas in central Nebraska may have heat index
values that are around or at 100 degrees. A cold front will begin
moving into Nebraska Wednesday night. Low temperatures Wednesday
night across south central and central Nebraska and north central
Kansas will be in the mid 60s to mid 70s.

The front will continue moving through the area on Thursday with
breezy northeasterly winds. Temperatures will be cooler from the
previous day with highs ranging from the mid 80s to around 100
degrees. Heat index values across portions of north central Kansas
may get over 100 degrees but will likely stay under 105 degrees. Low
temperatures Thursday night will range from the upper 50s to near 70
degrees. Rain and storm chances (15% to around 25%) will increase
Thursday evening and night along the leading edge of the front. Some
of these storms may become strong to severe.

Upper ridging will be over the southern and central Plains on Friday
with upper disturbances moving over Nebraska and Kansas. These
disturbances will allow for continued chances (15% to around 30%) of
showers and thunderstorms on Friday. Winds will be gusty out of the
southeast. Temperatures will continue cooling from the previous day
with highs mostly in the 80s. Upper disturbances will move over the
area Friday night with chances (20% to near 70%) of showers and
thunderstorms increasing. Low temperatures Friday night will be in
the low 60s to low 70s. An upper trough will continue over the
southern and central Plains on Saturday. This will result in
continued chances (15% to near 40%) of showers and thunderstorms.
High temperatures on Saturday will range from the mid 80s to mid
90s. Low temperatures Saturday night will be similar to those from
the previous night.

Sunday through Monday night...

A cold front will approach or begin passing through the area on
Sunday. This uncertainty in frontal position will impact high
temperatures on Sunday. At this time, am expecting high temperatures
on Sunday to range from the upper 80s to the upper 90s. Rain and
storms are expected along and behind the front. High temperatures on
Monday are expected to be in the low 80s to mid 90s with rain and
storm chances (15% to near 25%). Low temperatures early next week
will generally be in the low 60s to mid 70s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1234 PM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. Winds will
become southerly to southeasterly by 00z. Winds will increase
out of the south to southwest around 16z.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Schuldt
AVIATION...Schuldt