Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
309 FNUS52 KILM 201909 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 309 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024 .DISCUSSION... High pressure will prevail to the north while low pressure passes westward well to the south tonight. The low will bring an uptick in moisture and a little rain Friday. Warmer and more humid conditions with more rain chances are then expected this weekend into next week as a more summertime pattern sets up. Heat indices should be close to or even exceeding 100 degrees for many starting this weekend. Unfortunately rainfall amounts through the period should be fairly limited for most. Fog potential for tonight is Low, mainly away from the coast. NCZ105>110-211115- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 309 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 30 20 30 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 2 2 3 Min/Max Temp 65 90 70 93 Max/Min RH (%) 96 52 100 54 Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 6 G17 NE 4 SE 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 7 Lgt/Var S 6 Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.01 0.02 Precip Duration 1 1 2 Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 77/0900 2100 79/0900 Dispersion Poor Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 3 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 5500 Transport Wind (mph) SE 12 SW 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54000 55000 ADI Early 79 Good 46 Gen Good 42 Gen Good 43 Gen Good ADI Late 5 Very Poor 46 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 61 Good Max LVORI Early 4 5 7 9 Max LVORI Late 6 1 9 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E B F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-211115- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 309 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 20 0 30 Precip Type None Tstms None Tstms LAL 1 2 2 3 Min/Max Temp 64 92 70 95 Max/Min RH (%) 97 40 100 47 Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 5 Lgt/Var S 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.01 Precip Duration 1 1 Precip Begin 1 PM 8 AM Precip End 6 PM 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 77/0900 2100 78/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 6000 Transport Wind (mph) SE 9 SW 9 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 53100 54000 ADI Early 85 Good 48 Gen Good 50 Gen Good 39 Fair ADI Late 5 Very Poor 55 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 70 Good Max LVORI Early 4 6 6 9 Max LVORI Late 7 1 9 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability F A F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 40 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 38 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-211115- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 309 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 40 20 40 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 1 2 2 3 Min/Max Temp 65 88 70 91 Max/Min RH (%) 95 57 100 57 Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 6 G19 NE 6 SE 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 E 8 Lgt/Var S 6 Precip Amount 0.00 0.07 0.01 0.03 Precip Duration 2 1 2 Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 77/0900 2100 78/0900 Dispersion Poor Very Poor Haines Index 4 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 5100 Transport Wind (mph) E 13 S 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55900 51000 ADI Early 89 Good 50 Gen Good 43 Gen Good 38 Fair ADI Late 6 Very Poor 50 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 56 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 4 5 7 9 Max LVORI Late 6 2 9 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7 Turner Stability E B F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of thunderstorms 40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-211115- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 309 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 30 0 40 Precip Type None Tstms None Tstms LAL 1 2 2 3 Min/Max Temp 64 92 70 94 Max/Min RH (%) 96 41 100 49 Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 5 NE 5 SE 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 7 Lgt/Var S 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.01 Precip Duration 2 1 Precip Begin 9 AM 8 AM Precip End 6 PM 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 76/0900 2100 78/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 6400 Transport Wind (mph) E 10 S 9 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57000 57600 ADI Early 95 Good 55 Gen Good 49 Gen Good 36 Fair ADI Late 5 Very Poor 59 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 70 Good Max LVORI Early 4 6 6 9 Max LVORI Late 7 1 9 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability F B F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 40 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...Bright