Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
564
FNUS52 KILM 031847
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
247 PM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will continue to push further offshore this week.
Afternoon shower and storm chances increase through the week as
temperatures and humidity increase.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-041100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
247 PM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 30 20 50
Precip Type None Tstms Showers Tstms
LAL 3 3 3 4
Min/Max Temp 66 88 67 88
Max/Min RH (%) 95 53 97 53
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var S 5 SW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 Lgt/Var S 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1 2
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 77/0900 2000 77/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 3 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 5100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 SW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 46800 81600
ADI Early 42 Gen Good 34 Fair 60 Gen Good 51 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 61 Good 6 Very Poor 74 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 49 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-041100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
247 PM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 30 30 60
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3 4
Min/Max Temp 66 89 68 88
Max/Min RH (%) 96 52 97 53
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var S 7
Precip Amount 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.03
Precip Duration 0 1 2 5
Precip Begin 6 PM 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 8 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 75/0900 2000 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 5200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 SW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 46800 83200
ADI Early 41 Gen Good 39 Fair 55 Gen Good 55 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 59 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 84 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 5 7
Max LVORI Late 6 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 41 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 90. Minimum RH 41 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-041100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
247 PM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 30 20 50
Precip Type None Tstms Showers Tstms
LAL 3 3 3 4
Min/Max Temp 66 88 67 88
Max/Min RH (%) 96 53 98 54
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var S 7 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1 2
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 76/0900 2000 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 5100
Transport Wind (mph) S 9 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 46800 76500
ADI Early 46 Gen Good 30 Fair 58 Gen Good 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 73 Good 5 Very Poor 70 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 46 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-041100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
247 PM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 30 30 70
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3 5
Min/Max Temp 66 88 67 87
Max/Min RH (%) 97 54 97 56
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.03
Precip Duration 1 1 2 5
Precip Begin 6 PM 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 11 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 75/0900 2000 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 3 3
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5100 5100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 SW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45900 81600
ADI Early 35 Fair 33 Fair 57 Gen Good 54 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 72 Good 5 Very Poor 77 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 7 5 7
Max LVORI Late 6 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 40 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
74 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 90. Minimum RH 41 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$