Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
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039 FXUS61 KILN 141418 AFDILN AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 1018 AM EDT Sat Sep 14 2024 .SYNOPSIS... Dry weather to continue across the Ohio Valley through the middle of next week. Upper level high pressure will remain entrenched over the area and inhibit any significant airmass change for the region through this time, with temperatures running warmer than normal. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... Satellite imagery shows little to no cloud cover across the region. Maybe a little bit of cirrus will pass across the Tri- State and a few diurnal cumulus are not out of the question. Forecast looks on track. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/... A blocking pattern to continue with a large expansive mid and upper level ridge centered over the eastern Great Lakes into New England. This ridge will keep the area dry with a band of mid level clouds across the far southwest decreasing in coverage. Mostly sunny and warm conditions to continue. Highs today are generally expected to be in the upper 80s. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... High pressure anchored across the Northeast CONUS is expected to keep dry weather over the ILN area. Low pressure tracking to Virginia may bring showers to Eastern Ohio on Wednesday but POPs remain below the 14 percent threshold for precip in our area. The dry conditions will contribute to the severity of the expanding drought. Temperatures will stay relatively consistent through the period, with highs in the 80s and lows in the upper 50s to low 60s each day. && .AVIATION /14Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... A mid and upper level ridge stretching from the Great Lakes thru the East Coast will will keep a dry and warm airmass in place. A few mid and high clouds across the far south will thin out this morning - leaving only a few thin high level clouds. A few shallow fair weather cumulus clouds will also be possible this afternoon. VFR conditions are forecast to continue into this evening. Some valley fog is possible at KLUK with MVFR to IFR vsby restrictions forecast overnight. Light east winds will increase to 10-13kts this afternoon and then become a little more southeasterly and decrease to less than 10 kts tonight. OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...AR NEAR TERM... SHORT TERM...AR LONG TERM...Coniglio AVIATION...AR