261
FXUS63 KIWX 061723
AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
123 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- High waves and rip currents are expected at Berrien county
  beaches today and Friday.

- Breezy today with westerly wind gusts of 30 mph.

- Below normal temperatures through the weekend followed by a
  warming trend for the middle of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 246 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

Notably cooler and less humid early this morning in the wake
yesterday`s late-day cold front. Showers are ongoing across
central Michigan, on the nose of a screaming 90 knot jet at
500mb, attempting to extend southwest through central Illinois.
However, water vapor depicts very little moisture transport thus
the radar returns over Illinois are poor. Therefore, I have
notably reduced the extend of POPs early this morning.

Breezy but dry this afternoon with highs on either side of 75. An
increasing pressure gradient as high pressure becomes established
over the Central Plains, paired with well-mixed forecast soundings,
will permit westerly wind gusts of 30 mph. As a result, high waves
and rip currents are anticipated at eastern Lake Michigan beaches.
Breezy on Friday as well with slightly cooler temperatures,
thanks to continued cold air advection aloft.

An upper-level low lingers over the eastern Great Lakes through the
weekend. The next chance of rain showers is late Saturday afternoon
and again on Sunday as strong impulses ripple through cyclonic flow
aloft. This low is perhaps kicked eastward by Tuesday as a dominant
Southwest-US ridge (various heat headlines currently in effect
there) drifts into the Midwest allowing our temperatures to warm
closer to normal (near 80).

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 609 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

Prevailing VFR with gusty northwest wind gusts of 25-30kt this
afternoon, diminishing after sunset, before picking back up to
similar intensity again by 13-14z tomorrow. Daytime formation
of low clouds should remain above 4k feet AGL, mainly downwind
of Lake Michigan.


&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...Beach Hazards Statement through Friday afternoon for MIZ177-
     277.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Friday for LMZ043-046.

&&

$$

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...Brown
AVIATION...Norman