Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana
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109 FXUS63 KIWX 100421 AFDIWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 1221 AM EDT Mon Jun 10 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Rather cool by June standards Monday with highs in the 60s (coolest near the lake). - Temperatures slowly warm through the upcoming week, with well above normal conditions arriving this weekend. - Chances for showers and thunderstorms return for Thursday night into Friday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 306 PM EDT Sun Jun 9 2024 Overall a rather tranquil several days in store for the area as high pressure dominates. A cold front will drop south tonight into Monday morning, bringing a reinforcing shot of colder air as well as increasing low clouds that may very well persist through much of Monday as strong CAA settles in. Previous highs were rather warm compared to much of the guidance with many of the models only having highs in the 60s and maybe upper 50s along the lake. Collaboration has resulted in lowering of highs, but also trying to account for the possibility of clearing in the afternoon and the June sun offsetting some of the impacts of the CAA. It may be a bit breezy in some areas as well, especially closer to the lake. The cold air will be short lived as ridging moves in with temperatures closer to normal Tuesday followed by above normal (well into the 80s) for the rest of the period. A weak front will bring a chance of showers and maybe a few storms, but overall confidence is low given deeper moisture will still reside well south of the region. Trends still suggest that the upper level ridge will strengthen further this weekend into next week with highs in the upper 80s to possibly low 90s settling in. Dewpoints will remain in check initially with heat indices a few degrees warmer than forecasted highs. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 1220 AM EDT Mon Jun 10 2024 MVFR cigs are likely to fill in later tonight behind another low level trough in persistent northwest flow. Post-frontal dry advection and deeper mixing should support improvement back to VFR by late morning at KSBN and early afternoon at KFWA with a few northerly gusts up to near 20 knots during this time (mainly at KSBN given some lake enhancement). High pressure then builds in tonight with light winds and mainly clear skies. && .IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IN...Beach Hazards Statement through Monday evening for INZ103. OH...None. MI...Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for MIZ177-277. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for LMZ043- 046. && $$ DISCUSSION...Fisher AVIATION...Steinwedel