023
FXUS64 KLZK 122317
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
617 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 219 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

19z surface observations once again indicate near normal
temperatures across the forecast area. Scattered CU were forming
over the western half of the forecast area.

During this period, temperatures, and associated heat stress will
climb each day.

Late in the period, MCS activity is expected to form to the
northwest of the forecast area, then move southeast. At this time,
forecast signals indicate that this activity will dissipate before
reaching northern portions of the state.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 219 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

H500 ridging will expand northeast over the area from Friday into
the weekend. This will provide well above normal temperatures along
with little to no chance of rain. Even as temperatures are expected
to climb into the mid to upper 90s F across the area Fri-Sun, Td
values will remain below 70 F. While this will lead to uncomfortable
conditions and associated HeatRisk values of 2-3, heat indices may
remain below advisory criteria for most locations through the period.

Conditions will "improve" into early next week as mid-level ridging
moves east of the area. This will provide an increased supply of
tropical moisture and an associated increase in cloud cover and
diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms. While Td values will be
higher, temperatures will be a few degrees cooler through the end of
the period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 616 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

VFR condtions are expected through the TAF period. Mostly light
and variable winds are expected overnight with light winds out of
the south/southwest possible Thursday afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     86  62  91  67 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         87  60  92  64 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       85  63  91  67 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    88  63  92  66 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  88  65  92  69 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     87  61  91  66 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      87  62  92  65 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  86  63  90  67 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        87  63  91  68 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     86  62  90  66 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   88  64  92  68 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         86  61  90  66 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      84  63  89  68 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....67
AVIATION...73