342
FXUS64 KMOB 121714
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1214 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1214 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

VFR conditions prevail throughout the rest of today, tonight, and
into the day Thursday. Winds will remain generally light out of
the north around 5 knots. Some variability in wind direction can
be expected nearer the coast, particularly if a sea breeze
boundary can move inland today or Thursday. MM/25

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Thursday)
Issued at 1214 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

A broad shortwave trof becomes oriented over the north central Gulf
coast states today then becomes positioned across the northern Gulf
to off the coast of the Carolinas on Thursday. A light northwesterly
surface flow prevails over the area today with the exception of a
weak sea breeze developing near the coast this afternoon. While deep
layer moisture looks too limited to support pops for most of the
area today, cannot rule out a few shower/storms with the sea breeze
this afternoon and have opted to keep small pops in for portions
of the coastal counties. A similar pattern follows for Thursday
with an afternoon sea breeze developing near the coast, but the
sea breeze looks to be aided by a weak frontal boundary lifting
into the coastal counties which was previously stalled over the
northern Gulf. In addition, improved deep layer moisture works
into eastern portions of the area in the afternoon, and have opted
for slight chance to chance pops for generally along and east of
I-65. Highs today range from the upper 80s well inland to the
lower 90s for much of the remainder of the area, then highs on
Thursday will be in the lower to mid 90s. Lows tonight mostly
range from the mid/upper 60s inland to the lower/mid 70s at the
coast. Have gone with a low risk for Alabama beaches through
tonight with a moderate risk for the western Florida panhandle
beaches. For Thursday, a moderate risk of rip currents is expected
for both Alabama and western Florida panhandle beaches. /29



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      69  94  72  96  73  96  75  91 /  10  20  10  10   0  10  10  60
Pensacola   74  93  75  94  76  94  78  89 /  10  30  10  10  10  20  20  60
Destin      77  91  76  92  78  92  79  89 /  10  40  10  10  10  20  20  50
Evergreen   67  95  70  97  71  99  73  94 /  10  20   0  10   0  10   0  40
Waynesboro  63  94  68  97  70  99  73  95 /   0  10   0  10   0   0   0  40
Camden      65  93  69  96  71  99  73  96 /   0  10   0  10   0   0   0  30
Crestview   69  96  70  97  71  98  73  93 /  10  40  10  10   0  10  10  50

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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