Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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680 FXUS64 KSJT 101741 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1241 PM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024 ...New AVIATION... .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Sunday) Issued at 229 AM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024 Northwest flow will continue across West Central Texas through Tuesday and into early Wednesday, with models continuing to show shower and isolated thunderstorm development through Tuesday night and into early Wednesday. Once the upper-level shortwave trough exits the area to our southeast by late Wednesday morning, the upper-level ridge begins to build back across West Central Texas through the remainder of the week and next weekend. Temperatures are expected to gradually climb to above normals conditions by that later part of the week, with afternoon high temperatures reaching into the mid 90s to 102 by the weekend. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1237 PM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024 Already starting to see a few showers and storms across the area, but slow moving and not close to a terminal quite yet. Chances of convection till look to be isolated this afternoon but increasing late this afternoon and into the evening as another complex of storms may move across the area. Otherwise, still have some MVFR cigs across KABI but other locations have lifted to VFR cigs early this afternoon. Should see VFR at KABI this afternoon as well eventually. Away from the storms, should see fairly light winds but convective outflow winds near any of the storms will be possible at any of the sites depending on how the convection develops today. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 552 AM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024 MVFR ceilings will affect the KABI terminal through mid to late morning before lifting to VFR. Widely scattered convection is possible this afternoon but some uncertainty exists regarding placement/timing and will only include VCTS for now. Additional convection is possible overnight but confidence is currently too low to mention this forecasy cycle. Expected mainly light northeast winds through tonight. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 84 70 84 67 / 40 40 60 40 San Angelo 90 69 91 69 / 30 40 30 30 Junction 92 70 93 70 / 40 30 20 30 Brownwood 87 70 84 68 / 40 30 50 50 Sweetwater 84 69 85 68 / 40 50 60 30 Ozona 89 68 92 69 / 30 40 20 20 Brady 87 70 86 69 / 40 30 40 40 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...07 LONG TERM....TP AVIATION...24