Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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757 FXUS64 KSJT 061956 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 256 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024 ...New LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Friday) Issued at 230 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024 Mainly a hot and dry forecast to continue for West Central Texas. Thunderstorms are expected to develop over western Oklahoma and the Texas Panhandle late this afternoon and evening. Looks like most of this activity will remain north of our area, although cannot rule out a storm or two making it into northwest portions of the Big Country before dissipating later this evening. Confidence is fairly low, so will maintain slight POPs across this area this evening. Also, latest visible satellite imagery shows a cumulus field developing over the Concho Valley and northern Edwards Plateau early this afternoon. Latest CAMs show the potential for isolated development late this afternoon and early evening. Again, confidence is quite low over this area as well, but will add an isolated mention through the early evening hours. Otherwise, expect warm temperatures tonight, with overnight lows mainly in the low to mid 70s. High pressure will be centered over the area tomorrow, with hot and dry weather prevailing. Expect highs tomorrow afternoon ranging from the mid/upper 90s east, to the low 100s west. && .LONG TERM... (Friday night through next Thursday) Issued at 254 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024 ...Shower and thunderstorm chances return Sunday and Monday... The center of upper level high pressure passes over West Central Texas Friday night with southwest flow aloft returning Saturday, and zonal flow aloft Sunday. High temperatures of 98 to 103 degree Saturday will decrease a couple degrees Sunday with increasing clouds. A chance of showers and thunderstorms returns late Sunday, ahead of a weak cold front Sunday night. Instability increases Sunday with GFS MUCAPES of up to 2800 J/KG Sunday afternoon and evening. This along with 0-6 KM bulk shears increasing to 30 KTS Sunday evening, some storms could be severe. Severe potential continues Monday as moisture and instability remain over the region. A few isolated storms possible in the Big Country Tuesday, but warm and dry conditions are otherwise the second half of the week, as an upper ridge reestablishes itself. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1238 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024 VFR conditions will prevail across the terminals the next 24 hours, with light winds through the period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 74 99 75 100 / 10 0 0 0 San Angelo 75 102 73 102 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 73 101 71 101 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 70 96 72 97 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 75 99 76 101 / 10 0 0 0 Ozona 74 98 71 97 / 10 0 0 0 Brady 71 96 72 97 / 0 0 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...24 LONG TERM....04 AVIATION...24