837
FXUS64 KSJT 111902
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
202 PM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024

...New SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 143 PM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024

Line of showers and thunderstorms, associated with an outflow
boundary from earlier storms...extended along a Menard to Mason
to San Saba line early this afternoon. Movement was southeast.

These storms will slowly develop southeast toward Junction this
afternoon. The SPC has a slight risk of severe thunderstorms from
Sonora to Junction to Mason this afternoon/evening...where SBCAPES
are around 2000 J/KG and 0-6 KM shears around 35 KTS. An isolated
severe storm possible. Main hazards are damaging winds and large
hail. Could also see a strong/possible severe storm from Big Lake
to Ozona to Sonora...where a outflow boundary and enhanced
cumulus is visible.

Elsewhere, just to the north of Haskell is a nearly stationary
MVC. This may kick off isolated thunderstorms through this
evening in the Big Country, and possibly into Wednesday. Kept a
mention of isolated thunderstorms in east/southeastern section of
the county warning area Wednesday, with remnant outflow
boundaries and afternoon heating.

Clouds temporarily return late tonight as a moist boundary layer
is in place. This will scatter out mid to late morning.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 139 PM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024

An upper level ridge centered across the Desert Southwest will
slowly shift east, toward West Central Texas into the weekend,
resulting in drier conditions and a steady increase in temperatures.
Highs on Thursday will be in the low 90s to upper 90s, with highs
this weekend in the mid 90s to near 100. Even hotter temperatures
are forecast for the start of next week, with highs in the upper 90s
to 102 for most locations. Overnight lows will generally be in the
70s. Unfortunately, dry conditions look to persist into the first
part of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024

Main focus for thunderstorms will be KBBD and KJCT today as
thunderstorm outflow boundaries from south of San Angelo to Brady
push south the I-10 corridor...to KSOA and KJCT. Gusty winds and
temporary reduction of visibilities to IFR possible A few isolated
thunderstorms, however may affect KABI and KSJT with surface
heating this afternoon. MVFR stratus otherwise returns late
tonight, rising or scattering out to VFR mid morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     68  87  70  93 /  10   0   0   0
San Angelo  69  92  72  97 /  20  10   0   0
Junction    70  90  72  96 /  40  20   0   0
Brownwood   68  86  69  91 /  30  20   0   0
Sweetwater  68  89  71  96 /  10   0   0   0
Ozona       69  92  71  96 /  20  10   0   0
Brady       69  84  71  91 /  30  20   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....Daniels
AVIATION...04