037
FXUS62 KTBW 241126
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
726 AM EDT Fri May 24 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 724 AM EDT Fri May 24 2024

VFR conditions through the period. Light easterly winds this morning
will turn southwesterly and increase slightly early this afternoon.
Winds will become more northwesterly and increase to between 10-12
kts later in the afternoon. Light and variable winds are once again
expected overnight.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 433 AM EDT Fri May 24 2024

Hot and dry ridging at the surface and aloft will allow temps to
reach into the lower 90s near the coast and mid 90s inland with
some pockets of upper 90s. Light E/SE flow to start the day,
turning westerly in the afternoon and increasing to 10-15 mph and
gusty along the coast. Be sure to continue practicing safe heat
practices like staying hydrated, wearing sunscreen and light
colored clothing.

Ridge axis shifts south for the weekend, with W/NW flow in place.
A few showers and storms will be possible inland on Saturday
afternoon as an upper shortwave moves over the state, other wise
it remains hot and dry. A weak frontal boundary moves through the
area Tuesday through Wednesday, with 20-40 percent chances of
storms as it moves through. Temperatures will remain warm, with
lower to mid 90s each afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  92  77  91  76 /  10   0   0   0
FMY  95  76  94  74 /  10  10  10   0
GIF  96  73  96  73 /  10  10  10   0
SRQ  93  74  91  74 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  94  69  94  69 /  10   0  10   0
SPG  92  78  89  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 1
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 4

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

AVIATION...ADavis
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...Hubbard
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR...Shiveley