Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
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548 FXUS64 KTSA 160511 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1211 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (The rest of tonight) Issued at 839 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Both surface and mid-level ridging across the Southeast CONUS continues to drive in modest warm air advection into the region this evening. A mid-level shortwave trough over the Central/Northern Plains, currently causing showers/storms in far Northwest OK and Central KS will continue to lift northeastward tonight and will likely have little to no impact on the forecast area. Thus, a quiet, warm and sultry night under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies is expected. Overnight low temperatures will bottom out the low-mid 70s -- generally about 5-7 degrees warmer than seasonal average. Mejia && .LONG TERM... (Tonight through Saturday) Issued at 203 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 High temperatures will remain a few degrees above normal Sunday and again Monday. As upper high shifts over the Eastern Seaboard, a weak mid level impulse will lift north with low level Gulf moisture slowly increasing through mid week. This may allow isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop each afternoon with peak heating. Warming trend returns Friday into Saturday as upper ridging builds back into the southern Plains. Rain chances should remain very low to nil as easterly low level flow advects a drier air-mass into the region with PWATs decreasing. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1209 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024 VFR conditions should prevail through the period, with late morning into afternoon CU development expected. Gusty southerly winds will develop late morning at all terminals except FSM, continuing through the afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 75 93 74 91 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 75 93 75 90 / 0 20 10 20 MLC 73 91 73 89 / 0 10 0 10 BVO 70 93 72 90 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 72 90 71 87 / 0 20 10 20 BYV 72 91 71 85 / 0 20 10 20 MKO 73 91 73 89 / 0 10 0 10 MIO 72 91 73 88 / 0 10 0 0 F10 72 90 73 88 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 72 89 71 87 / 0 10 0 20 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. AR...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...67 LONG TERM....12 AVIATION...22