Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
477 FNUS74 KEPZ 242350 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for FRISCO...GILA NATIONAL FOREST National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 550 PM MDT Mon Jun 24 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on June 25. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Fire weather conditions are low. Mostly sunny conditions to start on Tuesday, clouds will increase through the afternoon scattered showers and thunderstorms likely. If storms occur in the vicinity of the incident, gusty and erratic outflow winds, brief heavy rainfall, and lightning will be possible. High temperatures on Tuesday in the low to middle 90s, depending on elevations with Min RH values in the low to middle 20s. Winds throughout the day will be light at 5-10 mph and generally variable in direction or terrain/diurnal driven. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms expected through the week each afternoon. .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent), becoming partly cloudy during afternoon and evening. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and early evening hours. Gusty and erratic outflow winds possible with any vicinity storms. Chance of pcpn......50 to 70 percent during the afternoon and early evening. LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4 until 1500, then 5. Max temperature.....Around 90 for higher elevations, 94 to 96 for lower elevations. Min humidity........22 to 27 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the morning becoming light, then becoming west around 5 to 10 mph late in the afternoon. Winds will generally be terrain and diurnal driven.Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......10300 ft AGL during the late morning and early afternoon. Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 7 mph shifting to the west around 8 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11700 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (65800 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........30 30 16 27 40 60 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 30 50 70 LAL.............1 1 1 4 4 5 Temp............69 72 82 89 91 89 RH..............55 49 34 24 23 26 20 ft wind......NW 4 NW 4 NW 5 W 6 W 4 W 8 20 ft wind gust.9 9 10 10 10 15 Mix hgt (ft)....2000 2000 6100 9100 10300 10300 Transport wind..N 7 N 7 NW 6 NW 6 W 8 W 8 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..12 12 49 49 66 66 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR FAIR FAIR GOOD GOOD .TUESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-55 percent). Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of pcpn......20 to 30 percent. Becoming less than 10 percent after midnight. LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1. Min temperature.....Upper 60s to around 70. Max humidity........50 to 60 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 6 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening. Winds becoming terrain and diurnal driven during the overnight Mixing height.......300 ft AGL after sunset. Transport winds.....North 10 to 11 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2900 knot-ft). Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........43 43 34 47 47 36 Weather cov.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD NONE NONE NONE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).30 20 20 0 0 0 LAL.............3 3 3 1 1 1 Temp............87 81 78 75 73 71 RH..............29 38 42 48 49 53 20 ft wind......NW 6 NW 6 N 5 N 6 N 6 N 6 20 ft wind gust.14 14 10 12 12 10 Mix hgt (ft)....3700 3700 300 300 300 300 Transport wind..N 11 N 11 N 10 N 10 N 10 N 10 Haines index....2 3 3 3 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..37 37 3 3 3 3 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Showers likely in the afternoon. Thunderstorms likely late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4 until 1500, then 5. Max temperature.....Low to middle 90s. Min humidity........24 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph early in the morning becoming light, then becoming west 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......9800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the west 7 to 12 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11300 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (78100 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........28 40 62 67 Weather cov.....NONE NONE LIKELY LIKELY Weather type....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE CHANCE LIKELY Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 70 70 LAL.............1 1 5 5 Temp............70 77 91 89 RH..............57 43 25 28 20 FT wind......N 5G9 NW 4G10 W 5G12 W 7G14 Mix hgt (ft)....1600 1600 9800 9600 Transport wind..N 9 N 9 W 7 W 12 Haines index....3 3 3 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..11 11 67 78 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY... Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Northwest winds around 6 mph. .SATURDAY... Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Northwest winds around 6 mph. $$ Forecaster...ROGERS Requested by...SILVER CITY DISPATCH Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2416638.0/EPZ .DELDT 06/24/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV