363
FXUS64 KOHX 141730
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1230 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 1059 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Did you feel it? This morning`s frontal boundary ripped through here
pretty quick and changed...nothing. Southern KY saw a quick shower,
but as fast as they appeared on radar, they were gone. In its wake,
mostly clear skies continue across the mid-state and there was so
little affect from it, dew points are still in the 60s. That means
warm and humid will be the story again today. If we see any affect,
it could be a degree or two cooler tomorrow. That`s about it.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 1059 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

High pressure aloft is still expected to make its presence felt by
Sunday. Afternoon highs should be the warmest of the week, with many
spots reaching into the upper 90s. Dew points will remain in the mid
to upper 60s, so expect Heat Index values to reach triple digits,
especially west of the Cumberland Plateau. If you have outdoor plans
on Sunday, have somewhere you can get into the shade and cool off.
I`m still thinking the ridge aloft should stymie any thunderstorm
chances on Sunday, which means Monday will be Middle TN`s best shot
at getting some rain in this forecast package. Unfortunately, it`s
still not a great shot. Will maintain a 20-30% chance, however, if
you get a storm on Monday afternoon, expect brief heavy rainfall,
lots of lightning and even the potential for some gusty winds.

By Tuesday, expect the start of another extended stretch of dry days
across the mid-state. Temperatures should remain very summerish,
with afternoon highs in the low to mid 90s with nothing too extreme
on the horizon.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

A surface ridge is in the process of sliding across Middle
Tennessee today, so we can expect this benign weather pattern to
last for the foreseeable future. Surface winds are a little gusty
this afternoon, but will diminish by nightfall. Look for radiation
fog early Saturday mainly at our Cumberland Plateau airports.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      71  93  69  98 /   0   0   0  10
Clarksville    68  91  66  96 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     65  87  63  90 /   0   0   0  10
Columbia       70  95  68  98 /   0   0   0  10
Cookeville     67  88  67  93 /   0   0   0  10
Jamestown      65  86  63  91 /   0   0   0  10
Lawrenceburg   69  93  68  97 /   0   0   0  10
Murfreesboro   70  94  68  99 /   0   0   0  10
Waverly        69  93  68  97 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Unger
LONG TERM....Unger
AVIATION.....Rose