772
FXUS64 KOHX 150538
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1238 AM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 815 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Not much to say here. Max temperatures peaked this afternoon in
the 90s. BNA topped out at 96 degrees, just shy of the daily
record of 97 degrees from 2022. Tomorrow looks the same with dry
weather and hot temperatures. Remember those heat safety tips
this weekend as hottest temperatures are still expected on Sunday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 1059 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Did you feel it? This morning`s frontal boundary ripped through here
pretty quick and changed...nothing. Southern KY saw a quick shower,
but as fast as they appeared on radar, they were gone. In its wake,
mostly clear skies continue across the mid-state and there was so
little affect from it, dew points are still in the 60s. That means
warm and humid will be the story again today. If we see any affect,
it could be a degree or two cooler tomorrow. That`s about it.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 1059 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

High pressure aloft is still expected to make its presence felt by
Sunday. Afternoon highs should be the warmest of the week, with many
spots reaching into the upper 90s. Dew points will remain in the mid
to upper 60s, so expect Heat Index values to reach triple digits,
especially west of the Cumberland Plateau. If you have outdoor plans
on Sunday, have somewhere you can get into the shade and cool off.
I`m still thinking the ridge aloft should stymie any thunderstorm
chances on Sunday, which means Monday will be Middle TN`s best shot
at getting some rain in this forecast package. Unfortunately, it`s
still not a great shot. Will maintain a 20-30% chance, however, if
you get a storm on Monday afternoon, expect brief heavy rainfall,
lots of lightning and even the potential for some gusty winds.

By Tuesday, expect the start of another extended stretch of dry days
across the mid-state. Temperatures should remain very summerish,
with afternoon highs in the low to mid 90s with nothing too extreme
on the horizon.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1233 AM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Upper ridging influences will keep all sites VFR this period,
with the exception of some possible light fog development this
morning at CSV and SRB. It`s not a guarantee, but with calm winds
and mostly clear skies it`s not out of the question. Winds will
be light and out of the northeast today.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      94  70  97  75 /   0   0  10  10
Clarksville    92  67  96  73 /   0   0  10  10
Crossville     88  64  89  69 /   0   0  10  10
Columbia       95  69  97  72 /   0   0  10  10
Cookeville     88  68  92  72 /   0   0  10  10
Jamestown      87  64  91  70 /   0   0  10  10
Lawrenceburg   94  69  96  72 /   0   0  10  10
Murfreesboro   95  69  97  74 /   0   0  10  10
Waverly        93  69  96  73 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

UPDATE.......Cravens
SHORT TERM...Unger
LONG TERM....Unger
AVIATION.....Whitehead