626
FXUS64 KSJT 241903
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
203 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

...New SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 200 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon
and evening, mainly in the southeastern portion of our forecast
area. In fact, we are starting to see some cumulus clouds develop
in the I-10 corridor, which could be a precursor for storms in
the next few hours. These storms should decrease in coverage after
sunset. Another cold front is expected to move through the area
overnight, exiting our southern counties tomorrow morning. We
could see some scattered showers and thunderstorms as the front
moves through. The storms are expected to remain below severe
thresholds, but lightning, heavy rain, and gusty winds will be
possible. Highs will drop a few degrees for Wednesday and rain
chances will decrease once the front moves out of the area,
leaving dry conditions for Wednesday afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 300 AM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

-Dry weather with warming temperatures

No significant changes in the long term from the previous
forecast. Early Wednesday, an upper level low will be moving
southeast from the Midwest into the mid-south region, and will
drive a cold front into the area. Models still show the potential
for a few showers and thunderstorms during the morning hours
Wednesday along this front, mainly south and east of a Brownwood
to Sonora line, so have kept some 20% PoPs in the forecast from
12Z to 18Z Wednesday. Wednesday through early next week, models
are in fairly good agreement that the aforementioned low will
drift from the deep south back to the north towards the Great
Lakes region as an upper level ridge remains anchored over the
southwestern U. S. That will keep our area underneath
northwesterly flow, and generally dry conditions will temperatures
near or a few degrees above normal through early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1212 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

MVFR ceilings are scattering out of the area, leaving VFR
conditions for the rest of today. Morning storms have cleared out,
but we could see additional showers and thunderstorms for a few
hours this afternoon and evening for KJCT and KBBD. A cold front
will move through overnight, turning winds from the north.
Additional showers and thunderstorms will be possible along the
front, but right now uncertainty is too high to include the
mention of storms for most of the TAF sites.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     65  82  57  83 /  20  10   0   0
San Angelo  66  83  57  84 /  10   0   0   0
Junction    66  85  57  84 /  20  10   0   0
Brownwood   66  81  57  83 /  30  10   0   0
Sweetwater  64  82  59  83 /  10   0   0   0
Ozona       66  84  56  84 /  10   0   0   0
Brady       67  82  57  82 /  20  10   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...AP
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...AP