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486
FNUS72 KTAE 201053
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for BU 2_4...FWC
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
653 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on June 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Dispersions are forecast to hover around 75 from ignition time
until about 4PM ET as easterly winds kick up in the afternoon with
occasional gusts up to about 20 mph. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are possible at the burn site from late
this morning until around 4PM ET. The main concerns would be
locally gusty/erratic winds and of course, lightning. Wetting
rains appear unlikely today.

For tomorrow, high dispersions arrive at noon ET, then drop below
75 by 4PM ET as winds turn more out of the NE. Greater rain
chances are forecast as a tropical disturbance moves into the
region, especially during the afternoon. There is better potential
for wetting rains and thunder/lightning then.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........34  27  47  46  39  28  34
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............40  40  40  30  30  30  10
LAL.............2   2   2   2   2   2   1
Temp............84  85  87  89  89  91  91
RH..............74  72  68  64  61  56  52
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.17  18  18  18  18  20  17
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 3.9 4.2 4.5 4.7 4.9 5.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.18  18  18  17  16  15  14
Dispersion......69  72  72  67  69  63  64
LVORI...........3   2   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........10  13  16  10  8   7   3   2   3   6   10  13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............91  90  87  84  81  79  77  76  74  73  72  72
RH..............52  52  53  59  63  67  71  71  76  79  81  81
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..9   8   7   6   6   5   3   2   1   1   2   2
20 FT wind gust.18  16  15  14  13  9   7   5   5   5   5   6
Mix hgt (kft)...3.8 2.4 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  N
Transp wind spd.13  12  12  12  13  13  12  10  9   8   8   9
Dispersion......49  35  7   7   7   6   5   5   4   4   4   4
LVORI...........1   1   2   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5

.FRIDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16  21  12  7   7   10  17  25  33  35  40  43
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY
CWR.............10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  60  60  60  60
LAL.............1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   4   4   4   4
Temp............72  71  74  77  82  85  87  90  92  91  91  90
RH..............81  84  82  82  74  70  65  62  58  60  62  64
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.7   8   8   8   9   10  10  12  12  10  10  9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.8 1.0 1.8 2.7 3.6 4.1 4.6 5.1 4.6 4.0 3.4
Transp wind dir.N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.10  13  14  15  15  15  16  16  15  15  14  13
Dispersion......5   6   18  35  52  67  75  83  88  79  68  56
LVORI...........4   5   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Gonzalez
Requested by...Morgan Wilbur
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416428.0/TAE
.DELDT 06/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL morgan.wilbur@myfwc.com