Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
930 FXXX10 KWNP 120031 DAYTDF :Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2024 Jun 12 0030 UTC # Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Product description and SWPC contact on the Web # http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html # # 3-Day Forecast # A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 12-Jun 14 2024 is 3.00 (below NOAA Scale levels). NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 12-Jun 14 2024 Jun 12 Jun 13 Jun 14 00-03UT 2.67 1.33 1.67 03-06UT 3.00 1.33 1.67 06-09UT 2.33 1.33 1.33 09-12UT 2.00 1.33 1.67 12-15UT 1.67 1.33 1.33 15-18UT 1.00 1.67 1.33 18-21UT 2.00 1.67 1.33 21-00UT 2.00 1.67 1.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 12-Jun 14 2024 Jun 12 Jun 13 Jun 14 S1 or greater 10% 10% 10% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 12-Jun 14 2024 Jun 12 Jun 13 Jun 14 R1-R2 50% 50% 50% R3 or greater 10% 10% 10% Rationale: Solar activity is likely to continue at low levels with a chance for isolated moderate activity in the form of low-level M-class flares (R1/Minor Radio Blackouts) through 14 Jun.