281
FNAK79 PAFG 280250
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 259 Flasco...Alaska Fire Service
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
650 PM AKDT Thu Jun 27 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 AKDT on June 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM AKDT FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

Isolated thunderstorms drift slowly northwest near the fire this
evening, generally ending by 8 pm, though there may be a chance
for a stray thunderstorm through 11 pm. Gusty and erratic winds
are possible this evening. Then, another hot day is forecast
Friday, though minimum RH should be a bit higher than today.
Widely scattered thunderstorms develop near the fire early in the
afternoon, and may persist in the area through the evening. There
is potential for thunderstorm coverage to be greater in the area,
with a Red Flag Warning in effect for scattered thunderstorms on
the Yukon Flats. Storms will come with the threat of outflow winds
up to 40 mph, may produce frequent lightning, and have the
potential to be dry. Temperatures will cool slightly through the
weekend while min RHs remain around 30 percent.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the night. Isolated thunderstorms
                    before 11 pm.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 7 mph.
Inversion setup.....12 am.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the day. Widely scattered thunderstorms
                    after 1 pm.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL increasing to 6000 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and early afternoon, then
                    decreasing to 3400 ft AGL late in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 7 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9 am.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the night. Widely scattered
                    thunderstorms before midnight.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 7 mph.
Inversion setup.....1 am.

$$
Forecaster...QUESADA
Requested by...YTDC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416717.3/AFG
.DELDT 06/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0