062
FXUS64 KHUN 060206
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
906 PM CDT Fri Jul 5 2024

...New NEAR TERM...

.NEAR TERM...
(Tonight)
Issued at 907 PM CDT Fri Jul 5 2024

Most of the showers and storms have dissipated this evening with
lingering isolated activity forming just along a surface cold
front currently moving through the area from northwest to
southeast. Storms that have developed have struggled to maintain
intensity, only resulting in lightning and brief heavy downpours.
Otherwise, light winds and decreasing cloud cover are expected
overnight with low temps dropping into the upper 60s to mid-70s by
Saturday morning. There will be a low chance of fog developing
into tomorrow morning primarily over Cullman, Jackson, and Dekalb
counties where dew points will remain unmoderated by the
approaching frontal boundary.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Saturday through Sunday Night)
Issued at 252 PM CDT Fri Jul 5 2024

An upper level trough is currently making its way through the Ohio
Valley. This feature is helping to drag a surface front through
the TN Valley on Saturday. As this feature moves south, it should
help to displace and briefly weaken the upper-level high that has
been dominating the weather most of this week. This is expected
to help bring us some slightly drier air for both Saturday and
Sunday. Afternoon highs should still warm into the 90s, still very
warm. The good news, is that any excessive heat risk should
remain low as the apparent temperatures are forecasted to feel
like the ambient temperature. Winds should also remain fairly
light from the north. PoPs should stay low, but a shower or two is
possible in SE areas.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 413 AM CDT Fri Jul 5 2024

By Monday, we will be back in a warm sectored airmass with upper
ridging centered off the Atlantic Coast and an upper trough making
its way through the central Plains and into the Midwest. The
upper ridge over the Atlantic looks to remain dominant over a
large portion of the Southeast through at least the mid-week
period, as the upper trough becomes less amplified as it moves
across the Great Lakes and into Canada. This will keep near
seasonable temperatures (highs in the upper 80s/lower 90s) in
place with daily chances for rain and storms, peaking (40-60%)
during the afternoon diurnal heating hours. The track of the
eventual remnants of Hurricane Beryl is still pretty uncertain at
this time, and low confidence exists regarding whether or not the
Tennessee Valley will see any rain from this system or not. For
that reason, have stuck with blended guidance for PoPs given that
it is at the 6-7 day range which suggest a 30-50% PoP Wednesday
and Thursday. Overnight lows will be in the upper 60s to mid 70s
each night.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 705 PM CDT Fri Jul 5 2024

VFR conditions will prevail for the period. Cloud coverage will
be on a downward trend overnight with low clouds between 3500-5000
ft early in period becoming FEW-SCT by 06/12z. Any lingering
TSRA/SHRA this evening is expected to remain isolated with direct
impacts to the terminal unlikely. Winds will remain light at 8
knots or less through 06/20z when NE winds will increase to 7-10
kts, primarily at KHSV through the remainder of the period.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...KG
SHORT TERM....Serre
LONG TERM....25
AVIATION...KG