Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
745 FNUS52 KILM 051857 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 257 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024 .DISCUSSION... High pressure off the Carolina coast will push further offshore through the remainder of the week. Rain chances increase on Thursday ahead of a cold front, which will move off the coast Thursday evening. Dry weather and seasonable temperatures are expected for the weekend, with scattered showers and thunderstorms returning early next week. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-061100- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 257 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Precip Chance (%) 20 40 50 40 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 2 3 3 2 Min/Max Temp 71 92 69 90 Max/Min RH (%) 93 57 98 43 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 7 G17 SW 8 G18 SW 8 G22 W 5 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 G17 SW 11 G22 SW 6 G19 W 6 Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.04 Precip Duration 1 2 2 1 Precip Begin 6 PM 8 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End 11 PM Continuing Continuing 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 77/0800 2000 73/0700 Dispersion Fair Fair Haines Index 4 3 3 4 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 7400 Transport Wind (mph) SW 22 W 16 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 123200 118400 ADI Early 63 Good 81 Good 60 Gen Good 80 Good ADI Late 13 Gen Poor 92 Good 14 Gen Poor 134 Very Good Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 7 Max LVORI Late 5 2 6 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability D B D A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 73 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 83 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 88 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-061100- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 257 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Precip Chance (%) 20 40 40 20 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 2 Min/Max Temp 70 92 69 89 Max/Min RH (%) 96 51 98 38 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 SW 7 G19 SW 7 G19 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 SW 10 G22 SW 4 W 5 Precip Amount 0.01 0.02 0.12 0.01 Precip Duration 1 1 2 1 Precip Begin 6 PM 9 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End 1 AM Continuing Continuing 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 75/0800 2000 72/0700 Dispersion Fair Poor Haines Index 3 4 3 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 7400 Transport Wind (mph) SW 25 W 18 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 157500 133200 ADI Early 53 Gen Good 83 Good 87 Good 73 Good ADI Late 11 Poor 127 Very Good10 Poor 148 Very Good Max LVORI Early 4 6 5 7 Max LVORI Late 5 1 8 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E B D A Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 71 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 80 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-061100- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 257 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Precip Chance (%) 20 30 40 30 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 2 3 3 2 Min/Max Temp 70 92 69 90 Max/Min RH (%) 95 50 97 41 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 G17 SW 7 G17 SW 7 G20 W 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 SW 10 G21 SW 4 G17 W 5 Precip Amount 0.00 0.09 0.10 0.02 Precip Duration 1 1 2 1 Precip Begin 6 PM 9 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End 12 AM Continuing Continuing 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 75/0800 2000 72/0600 Dispersion Fair Fair Haines Index 3 4 3 4 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6700 8000 Transport Wind (mph) SW 23 W 16 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 154100 128000 ADI Early 49 Gen Good 82 Good 82 Good 78 Good ADI Late 11 Poor 115 Very Good10 Poor 140 Very Good Max LVORI Early 5 5 5 7 Max LVORI Late 6 1 7 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E B E A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 71 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 43 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-061100- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 257 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Precip Chance (%) 30 40 40 0 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None LAL 3 3 3 1 Min/Max Temp 69 91 68 90 Max/Min RH (%) 98 48 98 38 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 SW 7 G17 SW 7 G18 NW 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 SW 11 G21 Lgt/Var NW 5 Precip Amount 0.03 0.04 0.08 0.00 Precip Duration 1 1 2 Precip Begin 6 PM 11 AM Continuing Precip End 1 AM Continuing 6 AM Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 74/0800 2000 72/0700 Dispersion Fair Poor Haines Index 3 4 4 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6600 8100 Transport Wind (mph) SW 26 W 16 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 171600 129600 ADI Early 42 Gen Good 82 Good 101 Very Good85 Good ADI Late 11 Poor 121 Very Good8 Poor 149 Very Good Max LVORI Early 5 6 5 7 Max LVORI Late 6 1 8 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E B E A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 71 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 35 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 80 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...CRM