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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
422 FXUS62 KKEY 290244 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1044 PM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1040 PM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024 An interesting start this the evening as a broken outflow from collapsing thunderstorms off Cuba raced northward across our western waters. Same deal as last night, the eastern flank remained active for a bit while the western flank quickly fizzled. Nonetheless it raced northward at 15 to 25 knots and managed to register at the Sand Key C-MAN station with a gust of 26 knots and 22 knots here at our office on White Street. Residual boundaries left behind tried to fire new shores but these were quickly squashed. This is likely due to the lower levels remaining relatively dry. For the overnight, did not make any changes. Winds have already settled back down behind the outflow boundaries and are backing to the east as expected. This is because the tropical disturbance nearing the Yucatan Peninsula is pulling further away from the Keys and ridging is being allowed to settle back in across the area. In addition, this will lead to an increase in moisture during the day on Saturday so expect near to above normal climatological rain chances returning. As for newly christened Tropical Storm Beryl, Beryl is expected to continue on a westward track and approach the Windward Islands by Sunday night and Monday. Thereafter, confidence is low on exact placement and strength once it enters the Caribbean. For now, there are no imminent threats to the Florida Keys. Residents, mariners, boaters are urged to continue following hurricanes.gov for the latest tropical weather information as well as your local forecast office here in the Florida Keys at weather.gov/key. && .MARINE... Issued at 1040 PM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024 Winds have quickly subsided behind the outflow boundaries that raced across our western waters this evening. A low level ridge axis lifting north over the Florida Peninsula will shift light to gentle breezes to the east through Saturday. Breezes will freshen and veer Saturday evening resulting in gentle to moderate east to southeast breezes through Wednesday. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 1040 PM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024 VFR conditions expected with winds gradually backing to the east by Saturday morning. Expecting an influx of moisture throughout the day such that rain chances will be gradually increasing. Confidence remains low on exact placement and timing but if showers were to move over the island terminals, it would likely be late morning to early afternoon. && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...LIW Aviation/Nowcasts....LIW Data Acquisition.....DP Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest